Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 351.174231 399.026145 452.477346 516.879185 592.726942 679.648901 787.421040
2025-07-27 281.689203 344.110180 420.318522 521.291878 653.196891 821.951399 1057.946674
2025-08-03 237.527058 303.304217 388.161154 507.610418 674.619856 904.790080 1254.984710
2025-08-10 207.474830 274.351919 364.500006 497.789545 694.939279 984.333289 1458.173751
2025-08-17 192.194136 262.311732 360.690952 512.934575 750.409596 1120.832926 1772.967412
2025-08-24 175.214724 245.407135 347.197324 510.839534 777.883834 1216.921922 2041.141548
2025-08-31 159.624406 228.576782 331.451850 502.424451 792.787565 1293.249099 2289.793818
2025-09-07 148.886620 217.751607 323.336636 504.560197 824.637637 1402.930906 2625.625692
2025-09-14 136.949924 203.854952 308.808096 493.933549 832.077916 1468.565516 2887.758004
2025-09-21 128.381865 194.440019 300.431712 492.546960 855.545038 1568.009033 3246.872423
2025-09-28 117.282067 179.994885 282.377480 471.898595 839.591655 1585.537083 3423.131799
2025-10-05 114.235524 178.492722 285.900765 490.555159 902.444837 1777.796347 4075.635501
2025-10-12 111.536009 177.499642 290.464866 512.261013 976.183884 2012.207021 4926.903864
2025-10-19 106.138897 171.452478 285.545288 515.174532 1011.193715 2166.426560 5617.510254
2025-10-26 99.009560 161.806742 273.217584 501.866097 1008.564077 2229.234527 6059.519537
2025-11-02 93.038352 153.786541 263.213392 492.157048 1012.592579 2309.726761 6589.804674
2025-11-09 90.698918 152.130491 264.984914 507.097032 1076.202554 2560.344151 7803.443152
2025-11-16 86.499185 146.744888 259.129537 505.030451 1098.589745 2703.844561 8701.270079
2025-11-23 81.938111 140.376458 250.844125 496.731004 1104.241743 2801.106816 9469.363750
2025-11-30 78.860978 136.600901 247.390986 498.837446 1136.844142 2986.600865 10701.021776
2025-12-07 74.714158 130.515220 238.821915 488.356314 1134.782144 3064.807369 11506.877573
2025-12-14 71.770309 126.579345 234.359609 486.988664 1157.256360 3228.036310 12811.363095
2025-12-21 67.224836 119.250864 222.371317 466.620993 1124.206942 3199.147781 13147.432421